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2018-19 Season Stats

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  • AndGoliath
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    Winter race 2 IOE

    Current IOE as of Winter race 2 at Tomadaga:

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Winter race 2 results with race 1 update

    Standings updated after winter race 2 at Tomadaga:



    Accumulated class results:



    An error was detected with the recorded results of the first Mugello race. Kevin and Brad were both scored as finishing third (6 points) in the last heat of Group 5. Due to the passage of time I have scored each as having received 7 points (the average of the second and third place). This is why they have an odd total score for the Group 5 class, this race, and the season. Here are the updated race results:

    Last edited by AndGoliath; 01-20-2019, 09:23 PM.

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  • Giddyup
    replied
    Driver of the Day (DoDj

    As I first mentioned in the Winter around 2 thread, and shown above - your driver side of the day by round (biggest moves up the pack from where a driver was seeded to their actual tound finishing position.

    Fall
    Silverado Round 1 - tie- Ken and Bob, both moving up 3 positions
    Mugello Round 2 - Bob, moving up 2 positions
    Dartschleife Round 3 - Ken, moving up 5 positions!
    Al-Dorado Round 4 - tie- Paul, Brad, and Alan, moving up 3 positions each
    Silverado Round 5 - Aaron moving up 5 positions
    Tomadega Round 6 - Thomas, an incredible 7 positions!!
    Dartschleife Round 7 - Tie - Aaron and a Thomas, both moving up 3 positions
    Al-Dorado Round 8 - Alan moving up 4 positions

    Winter
    Mugello Round 1 - Aaron up 6 positions
    Tomadega Round 2 - Ken moving up 5 positions
    Silverado Round 3 - Matt moving up 2 positions
    Dartschleife Round 4 - Alan moving up 2 positions
    Al-Dorado Round 5 - Alan moving up 4 positions
    Tomadega Round 6 -Thomas moving up 3 positions
    Silverado Round 7 - Aaron moving up 4 positions
    Tomadega Round 8 -

    After 15 rounds, Alan and Aaron lead the way, each with 4 Driver of the Day (DoD), followed closely Thomas and Ken tied with 3 each, followed by Bob with 2, and then Matt, Brad and Paul each with one.
    Last edited by Giddyup; 04-01-2019, 07:23 PM.

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  • Giddyup
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    9 rounds in - how does that compare against last year at this time?

    Good afternoon gents,
    Last year at this time was when started turning our sights towards the end of the season. Having just passed the ½ way mark in the season, I thought it’d be a good time to kick up the hot stove talk and mid-year report cards.


    After some quick analysis, and looking at the very same point last year, I did a quick year over year look at things. While it’s become apparent just how tight things have become, here’s some insight as to why:
    If you look closely, just at pure scoring, you can see David, Alan, Kevin and Thomas have all made big jumps in their scoring. I'm sure having their home tracks part of the rotation has helped, but the kinder touch from Brother Love aka Kevin has made an impact.


    We’ve all come to know the Shadow means biznatch this year with an improved raw IOE of 7.63% But looking at this year’s movers and shakers, Alan has certainly stepped it up. His raw IOE over 8 races this year is a solid 75.08% (916/1220), which compared to last year’s IOE is up 9.27% (2017-18: 65.81%).


    And interestingly and quietly, Thomas is steadily making headway as well … up a whopping 10.14% against last year’s 58.88%. But would you believe it, Brother Love’s current raw IOE of 71.2 4% is up by 10.38%...tops in the club!


    So in terms of improvements, Kevin, Thomas and Alan get A+’s, and we’ll give the Shadow a very arbitrary A-.


    One thing is took away from looking at the total points this far into the season (year over year), there’s a few of us who’ve slipped, depending on which column you look at….but it’s very negligible to flat at best.


    And then looking at the best rounds being counted, starting with say 6 rounds counting up to 8 rounds, again – year over year, 9 rounds into the season…it’s even flatter, unless you’re one of those 4 golden boys from above.
    Another way of saying we have parity through a good chunk of the club.


    The other thing I started to look into was our new 5 race rolling IOE, which adjusts or normalizes for 3 lane tracks. Last year, we had a 2 races I can think of where we had a top guy flip to the bottom of the order to gain some very high numbers. This year, the rolling average seems to have addressed that issue.


    But what I was curious about was how that rolling average, which can still be affected by adding or dropping a bad race within it, could game the system. Below you’ll see a chart of where people were seeded vs their results.
    Above I flagged any changes more than 3 spots. Why 3 you ask? Well we generally race on 3 laners so the thinking was if you drop out of your grouping of 3, either good or bad. The good/improvements are marked in blue with a drop being marked in yellow.


    Now obviously, the relative strength of the chosen race classes of the day, or the track being raced on can & will influence things, but it does paint an interesting picture. After a quick scan, I can see Aaron improving on his home track in the last race after being seeded lower. Thomas and Alan on theirs, so it does pay to be part of the rotation. But if you factor those 4 (of the 14 instances) out, I looked to see if anyone in the “hook” position (seeded 3 on a 3 laner or 4th on a 4 laner) benefitted from being the hook. Net result was zero!


    In fact, those in the hook had 4 instances of dropping by 3 or more places?! (Danny’s from round 7 is not noted since he’s not a FT racer). And while it’s not detailed here, I did look to see if the hook position managed to nab a race day podium – again to see if there was any benefit to being the hook. Net result was it’s happened three times – twice by David – once in round 2 at Mugello and again at, round 4 at Al-Dorado, while Paul achieved this in round 8 at Al-Dorado as well.


    One thing to note and I'm sure the Shadow will agree, the higher you move up in the rankings, the harder it is to avoid a drop, since there’s nowhere to go but down. Just think of the first time you moved up in the seeding and raced against all the top guys, it’s a tough road to hoe….at least at first until you get used to the competition.


    In terms of consistency, obviously the more variability between your seeding and actual results the lower your consistency. Aaron while he had 3 good days, also had a couple of off days. Brad, Bob & Kenny managed to net theirs out. But you can see both Thomas, Kevin and Alan had more good days than not all supporting their overall improvements this year.


    The one thing to take away from this seeding analysis is look at your position and think how to defend it, especially when parity seems to be setting in. To me, every heat is becoming more of a battle with closer less predictable racing now. And the results are showing it…just look at the latest scores from last weekend.
    4th place – 122, 5th place – 120, 6th place – 118, 7th place – 116….that’s just a change of one heat’s finishing position…so easy to drop from 4th to 7th or vice versa!


    Anyways, if you’re curious like me, the numbers are interesting and do seem to support the general consensus of closer more competitive racing which can only be good.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Winter race 1 series standings update

    These are the 2018-19 series standings as of the first Winter race at Mugello:



    The standings are currently dominated by those missing the least races. Three races into the Winter season will show a more balanced picture once the majority of the club has a complete set of ten race scores to count.
    Last edited by AndGoliath; 01-06-2019, 07:22 PM.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Winter race 1 IOE

    Current IOE as of Winter race 1 at Mugello:



    The explanation of average IOE calculation is in previous posts (http://slotcarillustrated.com/portal...83&postcount=2 and http://slotcarillustrated.com/portal...48&postcount=8) and is not repeated here. The green-shaded values are the normalized ones we are using for determining the order.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Winter race 1 results

    Standings updated after winter race 1 at Mugello:



    Class results:

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Current streak as of 2019 Winter race 1 at Mugello

    Here are the current streaks going into the first winter race at Mugello:

    Consecutive races (record of 34 held by Ken):
    • 1: Paul, Brad, and Darren
    • 3: Alan and Danny
    • 4: Kevin
    • 6: Ken and Thomas
    • 13: Tom
    • 25: David

    100-point days:
    • 4: Aaron
    • 5: Alan, Thomas, and Ken
    • 8: Bob
    • 10: Brad
    • 14: Paul
    • 20: David
    • 31: Matt
    • 52: Tom (record)

    120-point days:
    • 1: Ken and Aaron
    • 2: Alan and Paul
    • 7: David
    • 38: Tom (record)

    Top-five finishes:
    • 2: Ken and Paul
    • 7: David
    • 52: Tom

    Race day podiums:
    • 1: Alan, Aaron, and Paul
    • 30: Tom (record)

    Consecutive wins (record of 9 held by Tom):
    • 1: Tom
    Last edited by AndGoliath; 01-22-2019, 04:12 PM. Reason: Corrected Aaron's consecutive podium tally

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Winter milestones

    Here are the potential milestones to be reached in the winter season. Current values are in parentheses.

    Race day attendance:
    • 10: Danny (5)
    • 20: Thomas (14)
    • 40: Brad (35), Alan (35), and David (39)
    • 50: Aaron (48), Kevin (47), and Matt (42)
    • 60: Ken (54), Paul (52), and Tom (52)

    Lifetime points:
    • 1000: Danny (548) and Darren (76)
    • 2000: Thomas (1368)
    • 4000: Alan (3636)
    • 5000: Matt (4974), Kevin (4610), Brad (4034), and David (4590)
    • 6000: Aaron (5434) and Bob (5233)
    • 7000: Ken (6386) and Paul (6344)
    • 8000: Tom (7621)

    Class podiums:
    • 10: Danny (6), Thomas (4), and Darren (0)
    • 20: Kevin (14)
    • 30: Alan (24)
    • 70: Matt (64) and David (64)
    • 80: Brad (73) and Aaron (71)
    • 90: Ken (80)
    • 100: Bob (94)
    • 110: Paul (100)
    • 220...: Tom (215)

    I have not included race day podiums or wins as they are more variable.
    Last edited by AndGoliath; 12-29-2018, 08:01 PM.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Originally posted by AndGoliath View Post
    Here is a table showing the points necessary to obtain in the last race to move up the order:



    The score you need to reach a place is the green or yellow value at the intersection of your row and the column for the place you would like to get PLUS the improvement the person in that place makes over their blue-highlighted score. A couple of people still have zero scores so that target score can significantly change.
    A quick explanation of what happened with the standings in the last fall race:
    • Tom and David were locked in.
    • Paul needed a 120 to tie Aaron who did not attend. Paul got a 128 so he took third place.
    • Alan needed a 122 to tie Bob who did not attend. Alan got a 128 so took fifth place. He was two short of tying Aaron.
    • Ken needed a 110 to tie Allan, but Allan improved his score by 16 (128 - 112) and so the target was actually 126 (110 + 16). Ken got a 120 so it was not enough to pass Alan, but it was enough to tie Bob. Bob broke the tie by having a higher IOE so he kept sixth place.
    • Kevin needed a 134 to tie Ken, but Ken improved his score by 16 (120 - 104) and so the target was actually 150. Kevin did not reach that.
    • Thomas needed a 102 to tie Kevin who did not improve his score. Thomas got a 114 to take eighth.
    • Danny needed a 90 to tie Thomas, but Thomas improved his score by 14 (114 - 100) and so the target was actually 104 (90 + 14). Danny got a 90 which was not enough to move up.
    • Brad needed a 74 to tie Danny, but Danny was dropping a 0 score score so his whole 90 counted meaning Brad would have needed a 164 to tie. Not possible.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    2018-19 series Fall standings update

    These are the 2018-19 series standings as of the eighth Fall race at Aldorado:



    The standings are currently dominated by those missing the least races. Three races into the Winter season will show a more balanced picture once the majority of the club has a complete set of ten race scores to count. Congratulations, Alan, on your current fourth place.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Fall season lifetime rankings wrap-up

    This image contains the consecutive podiums and point streaks:



    This image contains the consecutive wins and races run:



    This image contains the individual class podiums in a season:

    Last edited by AndGoliath; 12-10-2018, 04:32 PM.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Fall season stats ranking wrap-up

    The following image contains the podiums for the classes we ran this fall. It is being provided instead of the usual series of tables and graphs. One indicator of the strength of your cars is the number of podiums it achieves. If I have time, I will generate more information, but this will have to do for now.



    For those that are interested, the following image contains the podiums for points and race day podiums:

    Last edited by AndGoliath; 12-10-2018, 04:41 PM.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Fall season personal milestone wrap-up

    Here is a wrap-up of the various milestones reached by club members this year. Current values are in brackets.

    Lifetime races:
    • 10: Thomas (14).
    • 30: Alan (35).
    • 40: Matt (42), Bob (41)
    • 50: Ken (54), Paul (52), and Tom (52).

    Lifetime points:
    • 1000: Thomas (1192).
    • 3000: Alan (3426).
    • 4000: Kevin (4432), Brad (4034), and David (4590).
    • 5000: Aaron (5258) and Bob (5233).
    • 6000: Paul (6364) and Ken (6188).
    • 7000: Tom (7621).

    Lifetime class podiums:
    • 1st: Danny (6) and Thomas (4).
    • 20: Allan (24)
    • 60: David (64).
    • 70: Brad (73) and Aaron (71).
    • 80: Ken (80).
    • 90: Bob (94).
    • 100: Paul (100).
    • 200: Tom (215).

    Lifetime race podiums:
    • 15: Aaron (15).
    • 20: Paul (21).

    Lifetime race wins:
    • 1st: David (2).
    • 40: Tom (41).
    Last edited by AndGoliath; 12-10-2018, 03:06 PM.

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  • AndGoliath
    replied
    Fall race 8 IOE

    Current IOE as of Fall race 8 at Aldorado:



    The following chart shows the season IOE calculated for the races up to and including the race indicated in the column header. The last Aldorado value is the season IOE and is the one used for breaking ties for the Fall season.

    Last edited by AndGoliath; 12-10-2018, 02:54 PM.

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